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The Nexus
Data through Jun 1, 2026 · updates quarterly
Reported vs. measured

Miami, FL

Miami crime coverage and measured incidents tell different stories across categories, with homicide dominating national attention while theft dominates the data

Over the 90-day window ending June 1, 2026, Miami city data recorded 2,140 theft incidents, representing 72 percent of all measured incidents across tracked categories. Assault (269 incidents, 9 percent) and burglary (212 incidents, 7 percent) were the next largest categories. Homicide, by contrast, totaled just 4 recorded incidents, or less than 1 percent of the measured volume. Coverage did not mirror that distribution in either scope. National outlets produced only 14 stories total across all categories, devoting 6 of them (43 percent of national coverage) to homicide, and just 1 story each to theft, robbery, and drugs. Local outlets produced 194 stories and spread attention more broadly: assault drew 59 stories (30 percent of local coverage), homicide drew 39 stories (20 percent), sex offenses drew 21 stories (11 percent), and fraud drew 15 stories (8 percent). A headline from WPLG Local 10 Miami on June 26, 2026, covered a Miami man charged with attempted murder after a stabbing, and WSVN Miami on the same date reported a UPS driver accused of stealing a dollar 55,000 Rolex during deliveries, illustrating the range of violent and property crime that local outlets tracked within a single day.

The national-vs-local divergence is most visible in two categories. Homicide received 43 percent of national story share against only 20 percent of local story share and under 1 percent of measured incident share. That gap confirms the expected national pattern of over-indexing fatal violence relative to its actual frequency in the data. Disorder received 21 percent of national story share (3 of 14 stories) against only 1 percent of local story share and zero measured incidents in the tracked dataset, suggesting national outlets amplified a category the city's own data system does not count as a discrete incident type. Theft ran in the opposite direction: it accounted for 72 percent of measured incidents but only 7 percent of national coverage and 4 percent of local coverage, meaning both coverage tiers under-represented the most common crime in the data, though local outlets matched national outlets in raw story count (7 each) while producing a far larger total volume overall.

Local coverage added categories entirely absent from the measured incident dataset, including fraud (15 local stories), weapons (6 stories), drugs (5 stories), and disorder (2 stories). These may reflect arrests, federal cases, or incidents logged outside the city's primary incident-reporting system rather than gaps in policing. Sex offenses showed the sharpest coverage-to-incident ratio: 22 measured incidents produced 21 local stories and zero national stories, a pattern consistent with high-profile individual cases such as the Overtown child gang rape case covered by WPLG Local 10 Miami on June 26, 2026, drawing sustained local attention to a small measured count. National outlets produced no sex offense coverage at all in this window, a notable absence given local prominence of the story.

Recorded incidents · last 18 months
2025-022026-06
Incidents vs. national vs. local coverage

Each category’s share of measured incidents, national/cable coverage, and local coverage over the same ~90-day window.

14 national stories · 194 local stories in window

Assault
Measured
269 · 9%

269 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 1, 2026.

30-day trend: +14% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: FBI Crime Data Explorer (NIBRS)

National
2 stories · 14%
Local
59 stories · 30%
Robbery
Measured
91 · 3%

91 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 1, 2026.

30-day trend: +3% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: FBI Crime Data Explorer (NIBRS)

National
1 story · 7%
Local
13 stories · 7%
Sex offenses
Measured
22 · 1%

22 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 1, 2026.

30-day trend: 0% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: FBI Crime Data Explorer (NIBRS)

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
21 stories · 11%
Arson
Measured
10 · 0%

10 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 1, 2026.

30-day trend: -67% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: FBI Crime Data Explorer (NIBRS)

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
2 stories · 1%
Homicide
Measured
4 · 0%

4 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 1, 2026.

30-day trend: +100% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: FBI Crime Data Explorer (NIBRS)

National
6 stories · 43%
Local
39 stories · 20%
Fraud
Measured
0 · 0%
National
0 stories · 0%
Local
15 stories · 8%
Other
Measured
0 · 0%
National
0 stories · 0%
Local
13 stories · 7%
What the coverage looked like
How to read this
  • Miami incident data is updated approximately quarterly and runs behind real-time news; the data-through date of 2026-06-01 means incidents reported after that date are not reflected in the measured counts, so recent coverage may reference crimes not yet in the dataset.
  • Measured incident categories (theft, assault, burglary, motor vehicle theft, robbery, sex offense, arson, homicide) do not include fraud, weapons, drugs, or disorder as discrete tracked categories in this dataset; local coverage in those categories likely draws on arrests, court filings, or agency press releases rather than incident reports.
  • National outlet story total is 14 across the full 90-day window, a very small sample; percentage shares for national coverage should be read with caution because a single story shifts the share by roughly 7 percentage points.
  • The homicide delta of plus-100 percent over the last 30 days of the window reflects a change from a very small baseline (the absolute count is 4 incidents); percentage changes at low counts are statistically volatile and should not be read as a trend signal.
  • Arson shows a delta of minus-67 percent over the last 30 days; again the absolute count is 10 incidents for the full 90-day period, so the percentage movement reflects small-number volatility rather than a large absolute shift.
  • Local coverage is not sparse (194 stories) and is treated here as the primary coverage reference; national coverage (14 stories) is treated as a secondary, narrower lens.
  • Story counts reflect coverage volume, not accuracy or tone; a single high-profile incident can generate multiple stories in one category without implying that category is broadly elevated in the data.