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The Nexus
Data through Jun 27, 2026
Reported vs. measured

Minneapolis, MN

Minneapolis crime coverage concentrates on assault and homicide while theft dominates the measured data

Over the 90-day window ending June 27, 2026, Minneapolis police data logged 6,992 total incidents across all categories. Theft alone accounted for 4,329 of those incidents (72 percent of the measured total), followed by burglary at 653 (11 percent) and weapons offenses at 277 (5 percent). By contrast, assault registered 133 measured incidents (2 percent of the total) and homicide 15 (under 1 percent). Neither theft nor burglary drew a single national story in the same period, and local outlets produced just one burglary story against 653 measured incidents. The most covered category in both national and local outlets was assault, a category that made up only 2 percent of measured crime.

National outlets (26 stories total) devoted 73 percent of their Minneapolis crime coverage to assault and a further 4 percent to homicide, meaning roughly 77 percent of national attention landed on categories that together represent about 2 percent of measured incidents. Local outlets (47 stories total) showed a similar tilt but with more proportional distribution: assault drew 57 percent of local stories and homicide 21 percent, with local reporters also filing on weapons (4 percent of local stories vs. 5 percent of measured share), drugs (4 percent local vs. near zero measured), and burglary (2 percent local vs. 11 percent measured). A June 28, 2026 KMSP FOX9 headline, 'Three overnight shootings in Minneapolis leave man dead, 2 others hurt,' is representative of the incident-driven format that dominated both scopes. Robbery logged a 30-day increase of 41 percent in the data and burglary a 30-day increase of 22 percent, yet combined those two categories generated only 2 local stories and zero national stories in the full window.

The national-vs-local gap is most visible in homicide coverage: local outlets filed 10 homicide stories to the national count of 1, suggesting national outlets were not consistently tracking Minneapolis homicides as discrete stories. One national story was filed under fraud despite zero measured fraud incidents in the city data, a discrepancy that may reflect a story categorized differently by its outlet than by police reporting codes. Local coverage, with 47 stories and broader categorical spread, functions as a closer (though still violence-weighted) mirror of city conditions than the 26-story national sample. The largest structural gap in both scopes remains the near-total absence of theft coverage despite theft being the category with the highest incident volume by a wide margin.

Recorded incidents · last 18 months
2025-012026-07
Incidents vs. national vs. local coverage

Each category’s share of measured incidents, national/cable coverage, and local coverage over the same ~90-day window.

26 national stories · 47 local stories in window

Theft
Measured
4,329 · 72%

4,329 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: +4% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
none
Burglary
Measured
653 · 11%

653 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: +22% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
1 story · 2%
Weapons
Measured
277 · 5%

277 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: +3% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
2 stories · 4%
Robbery
Measured
197 · 3%

197 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: +41% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
1 story · 2%
Assault
Measured
133 · 2%

133 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: -22% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
19 stories · 73%
Local
27 stories · 57%
Sex offenses
Measured
104 · 2%

104 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: -26% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
none
Arson
Measured
16 · 0%

16 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: 0% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
none
Homicide
Measured
15 · 0%

15 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: +20% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
1 story · 4%
Local
10 stories · 21%
Disorder
Measured
11 · 0%

11 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: -50% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
1 story · 4%
Local
2 stories · 4%
Motor vehicle theft
Measured
7 · 0%

7 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: 0% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
none
Drugs
Measured
3 · 0%

3 incidents recorded over the ~90-day window, through Jun 27, 2026.

30-day trend: -100% vs. the prior 30 days.

Source: Minneapolis PD Incidents Last-2-Years

National
0 stories · 0%
Local
2 stories · 4%
What the coverage looked like
How to read this
  • City incident data runs through June 27, 2026; several sample headlines are dated June 28, 2026, meaning the most recent day's incidents may not yet be fully reflected in the measured counts.
  • Measured counts represent reported incidents logged by Minneapolis police, not arrests or convictions; reporting rates vary by category and theft in particular is known to be underreported relative to actual occurrence.
  • The 30-day delta percentages (robbery plus 41 percent, burglary plus 22 percent, assault minus 22 percent) describe only the most recent 30-day sub-window within the 90-day period and should not be read as trend lines across the full window.
  • One national story was coded as fraud despite zero measured fraud incidents; this may reflect outlet-level categorization that does not map cleanly to Minneapolis Police Department offense codes.
  • Local coverage is not sparse (47 stories), but the sample still skews toward broadcast outlets (KMSP FOX9, KSTP ABC); print and digital-native local sources may have different categorical distributions not fully captured here.
  • Motor vehicle theft showed only 7 measured incidents in this window, which is anomalously low compared to historical Minneapolis patterns and may indicate a data pipeline or classification issue rather than an actual count.