western Caribbean
Coverage of western Caribbean in the Nexus archive.
- Keeping an eye to the Central American gyre for late next week
The 2026 hurricane season's initial activity in the eastern Pacific includes Hurricane Amanda and two developing systems. A Central American Gyre (CAG) is expected to form by mid to late next week, potentially influencing tropical development in the Atlantic, western Caribbean, and southern Gulf. Models suggest increased storminess near Mexico's Yucatán and possible heavy rainfall for the Gulf Coast.
- Where could we see tropical development for the first half of June?
June is historically the least active month of the hurricane season, with only three Category 3+ hurricanes recorded in June since records began. Early June tropical development typically occurs near the U.S. in the western Caribbean, Gulf, and southeast Atlantic, driven by stalled fronts and the Central American Gyre. Current models show no immediate organized storm activity, but the Madden-Julian Oscillation may promote storminess by mid-June, though its influence is expected to be weaker due to a developing El Niño.