Where could we see tropical development for the first half of June?

June is historically the least active month of the hurricane season, with only three Category 3+ hurricanes recorded in June since records began. Early June tropical development typically occurs near the U.S. in the western Caribbean, Gulf, and southeast Atlantic, driven by stalled fronts and the Central American Gyre. Current models show no immediate organized storm activity, but the Madden-Julian Oscillation may promote storminess by mid-June, though its influence is expected to be weaker due to a developing El Niño.