Nino 3.4 region
Coverage of Nino 3.4 region in the Nexus archive.
- Strengthening El Nino likely to 'rank among largest' on record: US agency
The El Nino weather pattern is strengthening and likely to rank among the largest on record when it peaks between October and December, according to the US Climate Prediction Centre. With an 81% chance of being 'very strong' (2.0°C above an index) and 97% chance of persisting through early 2027, El Nino is expected to drive global temperature rises and disrupt weather patterns worldwide.
- Updated 2026 hurricane outlook trends down as El Niño is officially declared
Colorado State University's June 2026 Atlantic hurricane forecast predicts reduced activity, with 11 named storms and 5 hurricanes, below the 30-year average, due to El Niño conditions. El Niño is expected to increase wind shear, suppressing storm formation, and the odds of a major hurricane hitting the U.S. are projected to drop to 23%. NOAA and the National Weather Service confirmed El Niño's presence, citing record warmth in the Nino 3.4 region.