Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Coverage of Accumulated Cyclone Energy in the Nexus archive.
- Forecasters lower predictions for the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Forecasters at Colorado State University revised their 2026 Atlantic hurricane season predictions downward, anticipating a below-average season with 4 hurricanes (1 major) and the third-lowest Accumulated Cyclone Energy in 30 years. The forecast cites a strong El Niño as the primary factor, increasing wind shear that inhibits storm development, particularly in the western tropical Atlantic.
- Updated 2026 hurricane outlook trends down as El Niño is officially declared
Colorado State University's June 2026 Atlantic hurricane forecast predicts reduced activity, with 11 named storms and 5 hurricanes, below the 30-year average, due to El Niño conditions. El Niño is expected to increase wind shear, suppressing storm formation, and the odds of a major hurricane hitting the U.S. are projected to drop to 23%. NOAA and the National Weather Service confirmed El Niño's presence, citing record warmth in the Nino 3.4 region.