Decision Desk HQ

Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley defeated Francesca Hong in the Wisconsin governor’s race, as projected by Decision Desk HQ. Crowley's upset victory was achieved with support from Tony Evers.

David Crowley emerged victorious in a Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor against Francesca Hong. The race saw Crowley gain support from Gov. Tony Evers, providing an impetus to the Democratic establishment.

Vermont Gov. Phil Scott is projected to face Amanda Janoo in the state’s November gubernatorial election. Decision Desk HQ reported this matchup. Scott has served as the state’s top official since his election in 2016.

Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan is projected to win the Democratic primary for retiring Sen. Tina Smith’s seat and defeat Rep. Angie Craig. This victory is viewed as a key win for progressives.

Trina Swanson is projected to win the Democratic primary in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District. She defeated John Munter and Luke Gulbranson, noting that the latter appeared on seasons 4-7 of the Bravo series “Summer House.” By winning this primary election, Swanson locks up a spot for her to take on Stauber.

Lisa Demuth was projected by Decision Desk HQ to win the Republican primary for governor of Minnesota, which reportedly dealt a blow to President Trump. The source notes that Trump had previously endorsed Mike Lindell, who allegedly defamed Smartmatic with false statements about election tech.

Rep. Ed Case was projected to win his Democratic primary in Hawaii on Saturday, successfully fending off a progressive challenger. According to Decision Desk HQ, Case defeated state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, who ran a campaign calling for a “new generation” of leaders.

Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder was projected to advance to face Rep. Andy Ogles in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District general election. Molder, who sought to unseat Ogles, won the Democratic primary against Carrie Ann Iacomini. The projection was reported by Decision Desk HQ.

The Michigan Senate Democratic primary remains too close to call, with Abdul El-Sayed leading Rep. Haley Stevens by approximately 2 points as of 2 am EDT. The race highlights Democrats' internal competition for the party's future direction.

Christina Hines is projected to win the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 10th Congressional District, leading to a November race against GOP nominee Mike Bouchard. Incumbent Rep. John James’s decision to run for governor has left the Macomb County district without an incumbent for the first time.

Amanda McKinney and John Duresky are projected to advance to the November general election for Washington’s 4th Congressional District seat, following the retirement of Rep. Dan Newhouse. They defeated 11 other candidates in the primary.

Bill Huizenga is projected to win the Republican primary in Michigan’s 4th congressional district and will face Sean McCann in November. Huizenga defeated Philip Tanis in the primary, according to Decision Desk HQ.

John Braun, endorsed by President Trump, is projected to advance to a November election against Rep. Marie Glusenkamp Perez in Washington. Braun, a U.S. Army veteran and owner of Braun Northwest, defeated two opponents in preliminary results from Decision Desk HQ.

Cindy Holscher is projected to win the Democratic primary for Kansas governor, defeating Ethan Corson and Curt Skoog. Corson was backed by Laura Kelly.

Michigan state Sen. Jeremy Moss is projected to win the Democratic primary in the state’s 11th Congressional District, defeating five other Democrats. He is the president pro tempore of the Michigan Senate since January 2023.

Chris Stigall, endorsed by Sam Graves, is projected to win the GOP primary for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District. He defeated candidates including Nathan Willett and Jim Ingram in a crowded GOP field.

Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson (D) and President Trump-endorsed Rep. John James (R-Mich.) are projected to face off in the Michigan governor’s race this fall, according to Decision Desk HQ. Benson defeated Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson for the Democratic nomination, while James defeated businessman Perry Johnson for the Republican nomination.

Democratic Rep. Emanuel Cleaver is set to face Republican state Sen. Rick Brattin in Missouri’s 5th Congressional District race. Cleaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Brattin defeated five other Republicans to secure the GOP nomination. Brattin represents Missouri’s 31st district in the state legislature.

Kansas voters are projected to reject a ballot measure that would allow direct elections for state Supreme Court justices. The current system involves gubernatorial appointments followed by retention elections, and the rejection is seen as a setback for conservatives dissatisfied with the court's liberal direction.

Ty Masterson, endorsed by President Trump as the candidate for Kansas governor, is projected to win the Republican primary and advance to the general election. He defeated five other GOP candidates in the race.

Sen. Roger Marshall is projected to win the GOP primary in Kansas and will face Democrat pastor Adam Hamilton in the November Senate election. Marshall seeks a second term, defeating Arch Naramore in the primary.

Shannon Taylor is projected to challenge Rob Wittman in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District. The race could have been a key pickup opportunity for Democrats if their congressional map had been implemented this spring. Wittman faced no primary, while Taylor is from Henrico County.

Gov. Larry Rhoden (R) is projected to defeat Toby Doeden in Tuesday’s GOP primary runoff for South Dakota governor. Rhoden will face Democrat Dan Ahlers in November, with the state’s reliably Republican leanings expected to help him retain the seat.

The special election to fill the remainder of the late Rep. David Scott’s term in the House is headed to a runoff, according to Decision Desk HQ. None of the five candidates scored more than 50% of the vote, pushing the top two finishers, Marcye Scott and a Gwinnett candidate, to a runoff.

Democrats are favored to win the House but considered underdogs in the Senate according to a Decision Desk HQ forecast, with both parties facing challenges as the midterms approach. The election is 100 days away.

Amish Shah, a former state Rep, defeated Marlene Galán-Woods, a former broadcast journalist, in the Democratic primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District, according to Decision Desk HQ. His victory is a setback for national Democrats who had supported Galán-Woods.

Mark Lamb is projected to win the Republican primary for Andy Biggs’s seat in Arizona’s 5th Congressional District, securing President Trump’s endorsement. Lamb previously ran for Senate and lost to Republican Kari Lake in the 2024 GOP primary.

Arizona state Rep. Alexander Kolodin, an election attorney known for contesting 2020 election results, is projected to win the Republican primary over Gina Swoboda. He will face Secretary of State Adrian Fontes in the November election.

Republican Rep. Andy Biggs, backed by President Trump, will challenge Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs in the gubernatorial race this fall after defeating primary rival Rep. David Schweikert. Biggs secured the nomination in a state that Trump won in 2024 and 2016, while Hobbs ran uncontested in the Democratic primary.

Democratic Rep. Greg Stanton is projected to win a primary challenge from Kai Newkirk in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District. Newkirk criticized Stanton for accepting corporate donations and supporting a vote on the Laken bill.

Decision Desk HQ forecasts Democrats to win the House and a 50-50 Senate split in the November midterm elections, indicating a highly competitive race for Congressional control.

Sen. John Hickenlooper won the Democratic primary in Colorado, as projected by Decision Desk HQ, defeating progressive challenger Julie Gonzales, a labor organizer and state senator.

Rep. Diana DeGette is projected to lose her reelection bid to Melat Kiros, a former attorney and PhD student. This marks the third upset for democratic socialists in competitive House primaries this cycle, according to Decision Desk HQ.

Phil Weiser is projected to defeat Michael Bennet for the Democratic nomination in Colorado's governor's race, according to Decision Desk HQ. Bennet was initially considered the favorite in the race.

State Rep. Manny Rutinel (D) is projected to defeat former state Rep. Shannon Bird (D) in the Democratic primary for Colorado's 8th Congressional District. The winner will face Rep. Gabe Evans (R-Colo.), a vulnerable incumbent.

Rep. Julia Letlow (R-La.), supported by President Trump’s endorsement, is projected to win the GOP runoff against Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming for the Senate seat. The runoff followed the May 16 primary involving Sen. Bill Cassidy and businessman Mark Spencer, as no candidate secured a majority.

Rep. April McClain Delaney is projected to win against former Rep. David Trone in a primary for a House seat in northwestern Maryland, according to Decision Desk HQ. The race involves two Democrats competing for a blue-leaning district.

New York State Assemblymember Micah Lasher is projected to win the Democratic primary for the Manhattan-based House seat held by his former boss, Rep. Jerry Nadler, according to Decision Desk HQ. Lasher previously served as an aide to Nadler and held top positions under Gov. Kathy Hochul.

Darializa Avila Chevalier has defeated Adriano Espaillat in the Democratic primary for New York's 13th Congressional District, marking a win for the city's socialist movement. The race tested the influence of New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who supported Chevalier.

Cait Conley, a combat veteran, is projected to advance from the Democratic primary to challenge Rep. Mike Lawler in a key House race in New York. The contest will determine the sole toss-up seat in the state, according to nonpartisan analysis.