Dossier
GFS model
Coverage of GFS model in the Nexus archive.
- Shaping up for a quiet first half of August across the Atlantic
The first half of August in the Atlantic hurricane season is typically quiet, with historical data showing some years starting with no tropical systems. 2022 saw a completely inactive August, and similar patterns in 2019 and 2023 suggest potential for a slow start this year. Current models indicate low development odds for systems in the southeast U.S. and far east Atlantic through mid-August, with activity likely to increase later in the season.