Dossier
Commodity Context
Coverage of Commodity Context in the Nexus archive.
- The TACO Equilibrium
The article discusses the ongoing Iran war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, noting that oil prices have remained stable despite predictions of a spike. It introduces the TACO theory, which suggests President Trump will eventually end the conflict to avoid economic fallout, creating a dynamic equilibrium between market expectations and his decisions.
- China’s hidden reserves may be the reason why oil prices haven’t exploded even higher
The article suggests that China's government may be releasing petroleum from strategic reserves into the market, potentially preventing a sharper rise in oil prices. This analysis is based on a recent Commodity Context newsletter by Rory Johnston.