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The Nexus
POLITICSAug 16 · 11:12 UTCCOMMONWEALTH BEACONSteve Koczela

Why polling is so prone to prediction problems in primary races

Primary polls are often imprecise, failing to accurately predict outcomes in races like those held in Michigan and Wisconsin. These polling challenges occur because primary voters are concentrated within a single party's ideological spectrum, making it difficult for pollsters to account for the large numbers of candidates and the ease with which voters can shift support between them.

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Why polling is so prone to prediction problems in primary races · The Nexus