Tom Chivers

NATO is struggling to keep up with the evolving global arms race, as its technology and doctrine are deemed outdated. Analysts highlight the rise of drone-centered warfare, long-range missiles, and AI-guided systems, with countries spending $2 trillion on advanced military technologies including anti-satellite weapons.

The article by Nick Srnicek examines how a new class of Big Tech firms is consolidating power and control along the supply chain, influencing global politics and economics. It is recommended as part of Rest of World's summer reading list, with a note to purchase from local bookshops by Tom Chivers.

Shares in one of China’s biggest renewables firms nearly tripled on its public debut amid recovering interest in China’s equity markets. The surge is driven by global renewable energy expansion, AI data center power demands, and rising consumer demand for home battery installations.

A report argues that global chaos is localized rather than widespread, with most military battles and state violence concentrated in specific regions. The Atlas of Impunity report highlights Ukraine and Myanmar as key areas of conflict, while noting that most nations are strengthening legal systems and civil unrest has decreased post-pandemic.

A record-breaking heatwave is expected to affect over 220 million Americans this week, with dangerous temperatures in the East and Midwest, including 100°F in New York and Washington. The event is linked to a high-pressure system similar to Europe's deadly heatwave, which has caused 1,300 deaths and was attributed to climate change. A strong El Niño is also forecasted to drive warmer weather later in the year.

The US and Iran disagree on whether to hold talks in Doha, with Washington confirming the meeting but Tehran stating its representatives will only engage with Qatari mediators. Iran maintains control over the Strait of Hormuz, a move highlighted by a former diplomat and scholar as evidence of the US's failure to achieve its objectives in the war, with the ceasefire allowing Iran to resume oil sales and access $300 billion in reconstruction funds.

AI investment is reshaping the global economy, with increased memory chip demand pushing consumer electronics prices up and RAM prices expected to rise further. The three biggest memorymakers have seen profit and market cap surges, while shares in the Magnificent Seven tech companies have fallen due to higher input costs and data-center spending concerns. US steel demand growth is causing power constraints, leading to competition for electricity with data centers.

US investors are borrowing record amounts to invest in AI, increasing market volatility through margin debt and high-risk ETFs. South Korea's market swings, linked to leveraged funds, spilled into US trading, while a $1 trillion AI fund announced by Seoul suggests continued confidence in the AI chip boom despite recent tech sector declines.

The US claims it and Iran agreed to halt hostilities, though Iran has not confirmed. The truce is under strain after an Iranian projectile hit a cargo ship, prompting US strikes and Iranian attacks on US Gulf allies. Iran seeks to end the war but aims to maintain leverage over the Strait of Hormuz, with a proposed route through Omani waters potentially involving charges.

The AI buildout is increasing energy demand globally, with data centers in the US outpacing power grid capacity, while developers create self-sustaining power systems. In China, AI's electricity usage is projected to reach 5.3% of total consumption by 2030, prompting a policy to locate data centers in western regions using 80% green energy.

The article examines the rise of lithium-ion batteries from the 1970s to their current geopolitical significance. It criticizes how wealthier nations pursue green energy goals while outsourcing the associated costs to other regions, as highlighted by the Financial Times.

An ancient Mayan city was discovered in the Mexican jungle using airborne laser mapping, revealing a 37-acre settlement with a 43-foot-tall pyramid temple. The site, linked to the Late Classic period (250AD-900AD), highlights advanced Mayan civilization, which may have reached 16 million people before collapsing, possibly due to climate changes.

The WHO is conducting two trials of experimental anti-Ebola drugs, with the US supplying one drug after changing its policy. The outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo has over 1,000 cases, and the Bundibugyo strain's milder symptoms may hinder detection.

The UK is experiencing a record-breaking heatwave with temperatures reaching 39°C, leading to early school closures and increased AC purchases. The country's aging housing stock and infrastructure, designed for cooler climates, struggle to cope. Continental Europe also faces severe heat-related challenges, including drownings in France and political disputes in Paris over AC usage.

A Shenzhen-based supercomputer named LineShine was declared the world's fastest, surpassing California's El Capitan by 20% in speed. Unlike most supercomputers, LineShine uses standard microprocessors instead of specialized GPUs, marking China's first such achievement since 2017 and intensifying the transpacific tech rivalry.

The yuan’s growing influence is reducing Washington’s ability to enforce sanctions on geopolitical rivals like Iran and Russia, which are using yuan, cryptocurrency, and a Chinese alternative to the Swift banking network. The yuan’s share in global trade finance has tripled in five years to 6%.

Alan Greenspan's memoir, 'The Age of Turbulence,' is described as an 'unexpectedly charming' Washington insider account, blending his life story with economic detective tales. The New York Times called it the most charming such memoir in a decade, highlighting his work advising presidents from Nixon to George W. Bush.

Mediators Qatar and Pakistan reported 'encouraging progress' in US-Iran negotiations toward a 60-day roadmap to end the war, including a de-escalation mechanism in Lebanon. However, Israeli strikes and US President Donald Trump's threats to 'hit Iran very hard' if Hezbollah continues attacks highlight ongoing tensions. Conflicting accounts about the status of the Strait of Hormuz also remain unresolved.

The EU is moving toward a unified tough approach to China, driven by concerns over Chinese state-subsidized goods undermining European manufacturing. While Paris has pushed for tariffs, Berlin initially hesitated due to China's role in Germany's car industry. The EU now appears prepared to implement smaller trade measures rather than a full-scale trade war.

Europe’s AI infrastructure is significantly smaller than the US, with only 5% of global AI compute compared to 80% in the US. The EU’s €200 billion investment plan is overshadowed by over $400 billion spent by US tech firms on AI infrastructure in 2025. A fictional 2031 scenario warns of Europe’s economic and geopolitical decline due to overregulation and underinvestment in AI.

A German regional court ruled that Google is liable for its AI-generated search overviews, which falsely linked two publishing companies to scams. The court argued that these summaries constitute Google's own content, making the company potentially vulnerable to defamation lawsuits, despite typical protections for search engines linking to external sites.

The number of interstate conflicts reached its highest level since WWII in 2025, with 8 active cases recorded by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Conflict deaths rose to 244,600 in 2025, driven largely by violence in Sudan, while global peacefulness declined for the 12th consecutive year, with the economic cost of violence exceeding $20 trillion.

Ukraine has developed a low-cost alternative to US Patriot missiles, costing $700,000 and using infrared guidance, to address a shortage caused by high overseas demand for Patriots. US stockpiles are strained due to the Iran war, with production expected to triple by 2030. Russian missile attacks provide Ukraine with testing opportunities for its surface-to-air systems.

GSK acquired cancer drugmaker Nuvalent for $10.6 billion, reflecting the rising significance of cancer in the pharmaceutical market. The move aims to leverage Nuvalent’s antibody therapies to compete with companies like Merck, as cancer becomes more prevalent and treatable due to aging populations and advancements in detection and treatment.

Australia, the UK, and the US agreed on new measures, including autonomous submarine drones, to protect undersea cables and pipelines from sabotage. Marine cables carry over 95% of global intercontinental telecommunications data and electricity, with attacks occurring at historically unprecedented rates. Iran has suggested charging tolls on data through cables near its shores, leveraging the strategic Strait of Hormuz.

Monterey Park, California, voters approved an 86% majority to permanently ban data center construction, reflecting nationwide opposition to AI infrastructure. A poll shows 71% of U.S. voters oppose data centers near their homes, linked to rising anti-AI sentiment and concerns over labor-market impacts.

The EU approved plans to streamline deportations of unauthorized migrants and establish deportation hubs outside the bloc’s borders. This follows historically high migration flows, particularly influenced by the Ukraine war in 2022, though numbers have since declined. Spain has seen economic benefits from higher migrant employment, contrasting with broader European opposition to migration.

Anthropic will offer its Mythos AI model to the EU to address cybersecurity vulnerabilities. The model, capable of detecting and exploiting security flaws, was previously provided to US-based organizations but not EU entities, raising concerns about the bloc's exposure in AI-driven cybersecurity. Urgent issues arise as similar powerful models, including open-source Chinese versions, are nearing release within 12 months.

US President Donald Trump reportedly berated Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over Israel’s incursion into Lebanon, calling him 'f*cking crazy' and stating 'everyone hates Israel' due to its aggression. Israel has backed off plans to strike Beirut but remains defiant, complicating US peace talks with Iran, which demands Israel’s operations in Lebanon be included in any ceasefire with Washington.

Militaries are considering autonomous weapons as ethical constraints are debated. UK defense officials may lift requirements for human target selection, while AI-guided drones in Ukraine operate autonomously due to Russian jamming. Iranian cyber operations use US AI models, and the US pushes for autonomous weapons with caution from a special operations officer.

Russia's government has blocked online access to 20 years of criminal records, including 15 million cases showing rising convictions for treason and espionage. This move is part of a broader data suppression effort, with China and Turkey also cited for similar practices, potentially to conceal war-related conscription data.

Minnesota became the first US state to ban prediction markets, prompting a White House lawsuit to overturn the ban. The markets, designed to forecast future events using crowd wisdom, have faced controversies over insider trading scandals involving sensitive military operations. Companies like Polymarket argue these platforms are more valuable as risk management tools than betting platforms.

Nvidia is committing $90 billion to AI deals to strengthen its market position by supporting developers, cloud providers, and infrastructure suppliers. The investment aims to accelerate AI industry growth while tying more of the AI economy to Nvidia's technology. However, the company faces regulatory scrutiny over conflicts of interest in some agreements where it acts simultaneously as customer, supplier, and shareholder.

The US alcohol industry faces mounting challenges from inflation and declining demand, with major producers like Jim Beam closing operations through 2027. Kentucky's inventory of 16.1 million unsold barrels reflects pandemic-era overproduction, while rising cocktail prices and health-conscious consumer trends further pressure sales.

arXiv announced a one-year ban for scientists submitting AI-generated papers with hallucinated references or fake content. The pre-peer-reviewed paper repository is combating a surge in fraudulent submissions, with computer science being the most affected field. Journal submission rates have increased 42% since ChatGPT's launch, prompting stricter enforcement against AI-generated content.

The James Webb Space Telescope has discovered the LAP1-B galaxy, located 13 billion light years away, which appears to be one of the most primitive galaxies ever observed. The galaxy contains barely any heavy elements, supporting cosmologists' theory that heavier atoms were created in the explosive deaths of early massive stars. This discovery provides insight into how the universe began forging the complex chemical elements that eventually made up everything, including humans.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces mounting pressure to resign following poor election results, with four ministers already resigned and Health Secretary Wes Streeting expected to challenge for leadership. The article notes Britain has experienced five prime minister changes in 10 years since Brexit, contrasting with five in 29 years before. A commentator argues that while Starmer is unpopular, the root causes of Britain's problems stem from slow economic growth, overregulation, Brexit, and high welfare costs.

A comprehensive survey of physicists reveals significant disagreement on fundamental scientific questions including the nature of the Big Bang, quantum mechanics interpretations, and unified physics theories. Only 20% of physicists agree with the popular definition of the Big Bang as the moment time started, while 68% view it as a hot, dense state. String theory remains the leading candidate for unifying relativity and quantum mechanics, though only 19% of surveyed physicists support it.

Russia has slashed its economic growth forecast from 1.3% to 0.4% due to ongoing war impacts, with businesses struggling under high debt burdens and defaults threatening a quarter of the bond market. High borrowing costs have hampered manufacturing and investment while failing to control inflation driven by massive military spending and labor shortages. Energy revenues have plummeted 40% year-on-year despite higher oil prices, due partly to Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries.