Senate races
Coverage of Senate races in the Nexus archive.
- Kalshi launches midterm election forecasting hub
Kalshi launched a new online hub for midterm election forecasting, featuring prediction market odds for Senate, House, and gubernatorial races alongside polling averages and fundraising data. The platform describes the hub as a comprehensive resource for state and federal election forecasting.
- Democrats dominate fundraising in key Senate races, but GOP still has ample resources
Democrats raised more money than Republicans in key Senate races during the second quarter, according to campaign finance reports. The GOP still maintains significant resources despite the fundraising gap.
- Political parties boast new clout and cash in midterms thanks to US Supreme Court
A U.S. Supreme Court decision removed limits on political parties' coordinated spending with candidates, potentially increasing their influence in midterm Senate races. Experts suggest this change may strengthen party roles but not necessarily lead to significant new funding surges, as super PACs already dominate spending.
- These battleground Senate candidates raised the most money
Democratic candidates are raising more money than Republicans in key Senate races, with Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff holding $42 million in funds.
- Election handicapper shifts three Senate races toward Democrats – but GOP still favored to hold majority
The University of Virginia’s Center for Politics updated Senate race ratings, shifting Alaska, North Carolina, and Ohio to toss-up or leans Democrat. The GOP remains favored to maintain a Senate majority despite these shifts.
- Democratic Group Kicks Off $50 Million Midterm Blitz in Conservative Strongholds
American Bridge is launching a $50 million advertising campaign targeting Republicans in over a dozen House districts and four Senate races.
- Trump talks Iran, midterms, 2028 race in NY Post interview, illegal migrant faces murder charges
President Trump discussed Iran negotiations, midterms, and the 2028 Republican presidential race in a New York Post interview. A 22-year-old illegal migrant has pleaded not guilty to murder charges.
- Californians are pouring money into Democrats' Senate races in other states
California donors have contributed to Democrats' fundraising advantages in key Senate races, surpassing Republican opponents' campaign funds. The donations are evident in recent campaign finance filings.