Florida Peninsula

South Florida faces more afternoon storms with potential flooding risks, while a heatwave affects the Midwest and Miami's heat streak approaches a record. Drier air and Saharan dust will reduce rain chances later in the week, and the Atlantic remains quiet with no tropical development expected.

Week 2 of the Atlantic hurricane season shows a developing system near Central America's Pacific side, with models shifting the low-pressure area closer to land, reducing tropical organization potential. El Niño conditions are emerging, with eastern Pacific waters 1.5°C above average, likely to strengthen through summer and fall, impacting Atlantic hurricane activity.

Hot and humid conditions with temperatures feeling near 100 degrees are expected this weekend, with afternoon thunderstorms likely after 3 p.m. Saturday’s cloud cover limits rain chances to 40%, while Sunday’s reduced cloud cover increases rain chances to 50% or higher. A rainy-season pattern continues into the week, with storm coverage rising Tuesday and Wednesday as a disturbance moves down the Florida Peninsula.