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Strait of Hormuz traffic may not return to normal for 12 months or more, according to prediction markets
Prediction markets suggest less than 50% odds that the Strait of Hormuz will fully reopen by July 2027, with traffic potentially remaining disrupted for 12 months or more.
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Adjacent reporting
- Strait of Hormuz traffic won't return to normal until end of the year, traders say
- Strait of Hormuz traffic won't return to normal until 2027 after latest setback, Kalshi traders predict
- Strait of Hormuz traffic to return to normal as soon as August, Kalshi traders speculate
- Polymarket odds of Hormuz Strait traffic normalizing by end of May spike to 73%
- When will traffic in the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Market Still Expecting Strait of Hormuz to Reopen: Renaud-Chatelain