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The Nexus
SECURITYMay 14 · 10:00 UTCTHE CIPHER BRIEFRyan Simons

The Bear and the Dragon: The Threat of Sino-Russian Opportunism and Intelligence Miscalculation

The article examines the strategic risk of simultaneous military actions by Russia and China against U.S. allies, arguing that the greater threat may be parallel opportunism driven by intelligence miscalculation rather than formal coordination. The analysis draws historical parallels to World War II, noting that Nazi Germany and Japan acted independently despite shared expansionist interests, suggesting modern great powers similarly need not formally coordinate to complicate American strategy.

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